Pakistan: Poppy Seed Market 2025

Poppy Seed Market Size in Pakistan

The Pakistani poppy seed market expanded significantly to $X in 2022, growing by 8.3% against the previous year. Overall, consumption recorded strong growth. Poppy seed consumption peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Poppy Seed Production in Pakistan

In value terms, poppy seed production expanded sharply to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 40%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In 2022, the average yield of poppy seed in Pakistan totaled less than X kg per ha, almost unchanged from the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. less than X ha of poppy seed were harvested in Pakistan; flattening at the previous year. Overall, the harvested area continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

Poppy Seed Exports

Exports from Pakistan

In 2022, approx. X tons of poppy seed were exported from Pakistan; reducing by -22.8% on the year before. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a abrupt decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 183%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, poppy seed exports reduced sharply to $X in 2022. Overall, exports showed a abrupt curtailment. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 132%. The exports peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Malaysia (X tons), Germany (X tons) and the United States (X tons) were the main destinations of poppy seed exports from Pakistan, with a combined 82% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the United States (with a CAGR of -3.6%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced a decline.

In value terms, Malaysia ($X), Finland ($X) and the United States ($X) constituted the largest markets for poppy seed exported from Pakistan worldwide, together comprising 65% of total exports. Germany, Poland and the Netherlands lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 35%.

In terms of the main countries of destination, Poland, with a CAGR of -2.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced a decline.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average poppy seed export price amounted to $X per ton, surging by 3.4% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 31%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2018 to 2022, the average export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major external markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Finland ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Germany ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to the Netherlands (+5.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Poppy Seed Imports

Imports into Pakistan

In 2022, supplies from abroad of poppy seed decreased by -1% to X tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. Over the period under review, imports, however, enjoyed a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when imports increased by 352%. Imports peaked at X tons in 2021, and then declined modestly in the following year.

In value terms, poppy seed imports stood at $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, enjoyed a significant increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 304% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Afghanistan (X tons) was the main poppy seed supplier to Pakistan, accounting for a approx. 100% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Afghanistan stood at +46.6%.

In value terms, Afghanistan ($X) constituted the largest supplier of poppy seed to Pakistan.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Afghanistan totaled +40.6%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average poppy seed import price amounted to $X per ton, surging by 2.3% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, continues to indicate a perceptible slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 an increase of 361% against the previous year. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2020 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a lower figure.

As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for Afghanistan.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Afghanistan amounted to -4.1% per year.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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