Pakistan: Unmanufactured Tobacco Market 2024

Unmanufactured Tobacco Market Size in Pakistan

After three years of growth, the Pakistani unmanufactured tobacco market decreased by -7.2% to $X in 2022. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Production in Pakistan

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco production rose slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 42%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2015 to 2022, production growth remained at a lower figure.

The average yield of tobacco (unmanufactured) in Pakistan contracted to X tons per ha in 2022, waning by -7.1% compared with the previous year's figure. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of 22%. Over the period under review, the average unmanufactured tobacco yield attained the maximum level at X tons per ha in 2021, and then declined in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the harvested area of tobacco (unmanufactured) in Pakistan shrank to X ha, waning by -3.5% compared with 2021 figures. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to unmanufactured tobacco production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Exports

Exports from Pakistan

In 2022, the amount of tobacco (unmanufactured) exported from Pakistan skyrocketed to X tons, with an increase of 85% on 2021. In general, exports continue to indicate a resilient increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 188% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Overall, exports enjoyed a resilient increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 195% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Bulgaria (X tons), Belgium (X tons) and Indonesia (X tons) were the main destinations of unmanufactured tobacco exports from Pakistan, together accounting for 63% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Bulgaria (with a CAGR of +134.8%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Belgium ($X), Bulgaria ($X) and Indonesia ($X) appeared to be the largest markets for unmanufactured tobacco exported from Pakistan worldwide, with a combined 63% share of total exports.

Bulgaria, with a CAGR of +110.3%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average unmanufactured tobacco export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by 4.8% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, saw a slight setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 an increase of 18% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Belgium ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Malaysia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Belgium (+0.9%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Imports

Imports into Pakistan

In 2022, approx. X tons of tobacco (unmanufactured) were imported into Pakistan; which is down by -2% against 2021. In general, imports, however, saw a prominent expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 414%. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons, and then declined in the following year.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco imports expanded rapidly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports, however, enjoyed a strong expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 210% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, the United Arab Emirates (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of unmanufactured tobacco to Pakistan, accounting for a 48% share of total imports. Moreover, unmanufactured tobacco imports from the United Arab Emirates exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Brazil (X tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by Afghanistan (X tons), with a 19% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from the United Arab Emirates amounted to +141.9%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Brazil (+7.8% per year) and Afghanistan (+97.5% per year).

In value terms, the United Arab Emirates ($X) constituted the largest supplier of tobacco (unmanufactured) to Pakistan, comprising 58% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Brazil ($X), with a 21% share of total imports. It was followed by Bangladesh, with a 9.1% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from the United Arab Emirates totaled +148.8%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Brazil (-1.9% per year) and Bangladesh (+1.1% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average unmanufactured tobacco import price amounted to $X per ton, picking up by 7.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, recorded a abrupt decrease. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Zimbabwe ($X per ton), while the price for Afghanistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (+2.9%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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