Poland: Aluminum Market 2024

Aluminum Market Size in Poland

After two years of decline, the Polish aluminum market increased by 25% to $X in 2021. Overall, consumption, however, posted a remarkable increase. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Aluminum Production in Poland

In value terms, aluminum production skyrocketed to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production continues to indicate significant growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 9,061% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, production failed to regain momentum.

Aluminum Exports

Exports from Poland

In 2021, shipments abroad of aluminum increased by 32% to X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year declining trend. In general, total exports indicated a strong expansion from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +10.1% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when exports increased by 36% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, aluminum exports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a strong expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +10.0% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Germany (X tons), the Czech Republic (X tons) and Italy (X tons) were the main destinations of aluminum exports from Poland, with a combined 70% share of total exports. Slovakia, Slovenia, Austria, Hungary, the Netherlands, Ukraine and France lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Ukraine (with a CAGR of +30.9%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($X), the Czech Republic ($X) and Slovakia ($X) appeared to be the largest markets for aluminum exported from Poland worldwide, together comprising 69% of total exports. Italy, Slovenia, Hungary, Austria, the Netherlands, Ukraine and France lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 25%.

Ukraine, with a CAGR of +31.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average aluminum export price amounted to $X per ton, rising by 33% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2013; afterwards, it flattened through to 2021.

Average prices varied noticeably for the major external markets. In 2021, the highest price was recorded for prices to the Netherlands ($X per ton) and Ukraine ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Germany ($X per ton) and Austria ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to the Netherlands (+2.1%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Aluminum Imports

Imports into Poland

After two years of decline, purchases abroad of aluminum increased by 3.9% to X tons in 2021. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a resilient expansion from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +7.8% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when imports increased by 19% against the previous year. Imports peaked at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, aluminum imports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Overall, imports enjoyed resilient growth. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

The Netherlands (X tons), Sweden (X tons) and Russia (X tons) were the main suppliers of aluminum imports to Poland, together accounting for 67% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +39.6%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the Netherlands ($X), Sweden ($X) and Russia ($X) were the largest aluminum suppliers to Poland, with a combined 69% share of total imports.

Among the main suppliers, the Netherlands, with a CAGR of +41.1%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average aluminum import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, jumping by 38% against the previous year. Over the last nine-year period, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.2%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably country of origin: the country with the highest price was Slovenia ($X per ton), while the price for the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Slovenia (+3.5%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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