Poland: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Poland

The Polish flaked or rolled cereal market totaled $X in 2022, increasing by 3% against the previous year. Overall, consumption, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Poland

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production soared to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 32%. Flaked or rolled cereal production peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports from Poland

For the seventh year in a row, Poland recorded growth in shipments abroad of flaked or rolled cereals, which increased by 17% to X tons in 2022. Over the period under review, exports showed a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 30%. The exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports surged to $X in 2022. In general, exports showed buoyant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 35% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

Germany (X tons) was the main destination for flaked or rolled cereal exports from Poland, accounting for a 56% share of total exports. Moreover, flaked or rolled cereal exports to Germany exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, the Netherlands (X tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Lithuania (X tons), with a 4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Germany amounted to +8.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the Netherlands (+54.6% per year) and Lithuania (+21.4% per year).

In value terms, Germany ($X) remains the key foreign market for flaked or rolled cereals exports from Poland, comprising 48% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the Netherlands ($X), with a 13% share of total exports. It was followed by France, with a 5.3% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Germany stood at +8.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the Netherlands (+59.8% per year) and France (+46.0% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average flaked or rolled cereal export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, surging by 1.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, flaked or rolled cereal export price increased by +58.2% against 2015 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 an increase of 18% against the previous year. The export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Austria ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Lithuania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to France (+4.0%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports into Poland

In 2022, the amount of flaked or rolled cereals imported into Poland rose notably to X tons, growing by 10% against the previous year. Overall, imports saw strong growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 when imports increased by 33% against the previous year. Imports peaked at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports surged to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports saw a strong increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when imports increased by 34%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

Germany (X tons), Ukraine (X tons) and the UK (X tons) were the main suppliers of flaked or rolled cereal imports to Poland, with a combined 60% share of total imports. Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, France and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 29%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +96.5%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($X), Ukraine ($X) and the UK ($X) were the largest flaked or rolled cereal suppliers to Poland, with a combined 55% share of total imports. Lithuania, Latvia, the Netherlands, France and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 32%.

In terms of the main suppliers, the Netherlands, with a CAGR of +94.8%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average flaked or rolled cereal import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with an increase of 9.4% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.3%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when the average import price increased by 26% against the previous year. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2015 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Lithuania ($X per ton), while the price for Latvia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ukraine (+12.2%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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