Poland: Whole Fresh Milk Market 2024

Whole Fresh Milk Market Size in Poland

The Polish whole fresh milk market totaled $X in 2022, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Whole fresh milk consumption peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Whole Fresh Milk Production in Poland

In value terms, whole fresh milk production rose to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by 25% against the previous year. Whole fresh milk production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Whole Fresh Milk Exports

Exports from Poland

In 2022, shipments abroad of whole fresh milk decreased by -2.3% to X tons for the first time since 2017, thus ending a four-year rising trend. In general, exports, however, recorded a buoyant expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 60% against the previous year. The exports peaked at X tons in 2021, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

In value terms, whole fresh milk exports surged to $X in 2022. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a resilient expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when exports increased by 36% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

Germany (X tons) was the main destination for whole fresh milk exports from Poland, accounting for a 57% share of total exports. Moreover, whole fresh milk exports to Germany exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, China (X tons), fivefold. Lithuania (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 6.2% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Germany totaled +8.8%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: China (+75.0% per year) and Lithuania (+22.4% per year).

In value terms, Germany ($X) remains the key foreign market for whole fresh milk exports from Poland, comprising 52% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by China ($X), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by Lithuania, with a 6.6% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Germany stood at +8.9%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: China (+76.3% per year) and Lithuania (+24.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average whole fresh milk export price amounted to $X per ton, rising by 19% against the previous year. Overall, the export price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 24% against the previous year. The export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the near future.

Average prices varied somewhat for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the highest price was recorded for prices to Greece ($X per ton) and South Korea ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Germany ($X per ton) and Lithuania ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Lithuania (+1.7%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Whole Fresh Milk Imports

Imports into Poland

Whole fresh milk imports into Poland fell slightly to X tons in 2022, remaining stable against 2021. Overall, imports saw a slight decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 24%. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, whole fresh milk imports soared to $X in 2022. In general, total imports indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +37.8% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 36% against the previous year. Imports peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Lithuania (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of whole fresh milk to Poland, accounting for a 65% share of total imports. Moreover, whole fresh milk imports from Lithuania exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Slovakia (X tons), sixfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Germany (X tons), with a 10% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Lithuania stood at -1.3%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Slovakia (+71.3% per year) and Germany (-4.9% per year).

In value terms, Lithuania ($X) constituted the largest supplier of whole fresh milk to Poland, comprising 55% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Germany ($X), with a 12% share of total imports. It was followed by Slovakia, with a 9% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Lithuania was relatively modest. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Germany (-2.0% per year) and Slovakia (+64.1% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average whole fresh milk import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, jumping by 23% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a perceptible increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, whole fresh milk import price increased by +96.0% against 2015 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average import price increased by 33% against the previous year. The import price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($X per ton), while the price for Slovakia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+4.4%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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