Russian Federation: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in the Russian Federation

For the fourth consecutive year, the Russian grain market recorded growth in sales value, which increased by X% to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by X% against 2018 indices. Grain consumption peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Grain Production in the Russian Federation

In value terms, grain production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the production volume increased by X% against the previous year. Grain production peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

In 2022, the average grain yield in Russia rose slightly to X tons per ha, picking up by X% against the previous year's figure. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X%. The grain yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the grain harvested area in Russia reached X ha, remaining relatively unchanged against the year before. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. The grain harvested area peaked at X ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Grain Exports

Exports from the Russian Federation

Grain exports from Russia contracted dramatically to X tons in 2022, declining by X% compared with the previous year. In general, exports continue to indicate a noticeable downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, grain exports declined rapidly to $X in 2022. Overall, exports saw a slight setback. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. The exports peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Turkey (X tons), Egypt (X tons) and Kazakhstan (X tons) were the main destinations of grain exports from Russia, with a combined X% share of total exports. Libya, Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Pakistan, Latvia, Spain, Azerbaijan, Lebanon, Armenia and Guinea lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Pakistan (with a CAGR of X%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Egypt ($X), Turkey ($X) and Saudi Arabia ($X) were the largest markets for grain exported from Russia worldwide, together accounting for X% of total exports. Kazakhstan, Algeria, Pakistan, Libya, Latvia, Azerbaijan, Guinea, Lebanon, Armenia and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

Among the main countries of destination, Pakistan, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average grain export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, growing by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a pronounced increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2016 indices. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Saudi Arabia ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Libya ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Guinea (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports into the Russian Federation

Grain imports into Russia rose slightly to X tons in 2022, increasing by X% compared with 2021 figures. In general, imports, however, showed a deep contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, grain imports soared to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports, however, recorded a mild decline. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Kazakhstan (X tons) constituted the largest grain supplier to Russia, accounting for a X% share of total imports. Moreover, grain imports from Kazakhstan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Hungary (X tons), threefold. Italy (X tons) ranked third in terms of total imports with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Kazakhstan stood at X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Hungary (X% per year) and Italy (X% per year).

In value terms, Hungary ($X) constituted the largest supplier of cereal grains to Russia, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by France ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by Romania, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Hungary amounted to X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: France (X% per year) and Romania (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain import price amounted to $X per ton, surging by X% against the previous year. Overall, the import price recorded a strong increase. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Hungary ($X per ton), while the price for Italy ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Argentina (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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