Russian Federation: Whole Fresh Milk Market 2025

Whole Fresh Milk Market Size in the Russian Federation

The Russian whole fresh milk market contracted to $X in 2022, leveling off at the previous year. In general, consumption continues to indicate a perceptible shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the market value increased by 7.4%. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Whole Fresh Milk Production in the Russian Federation

In value terms, whole fresh milk production reduced modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production showed a abrupt setback. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when the production volume increased by 13% against the previous year. Whole fresh milk production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Whole Fresh Milk Exports

Exports from the Russian Federation

After two years of growth, shipments abroad of whole fresh milk decreased by -11.5% to X tons in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, saw prominent growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 198%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, whole fresh milk exports declined to $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, posted a mild increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 209% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Ukraine (X tons) was the main destination for whole fresh milk exports from Russia, accounting for a 71% share of total exports. Moreover, whole fresh milk exports to Ukraine exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Kazakhstan (X tons), threefold. Azerbaijan (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 4.5% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Ukraine amounted to +72.6%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Kazakhstan (-4.8% per year) and Azerbaijan (+7.1% per year).

In value terms, Ukraine ($X) remains the key foreign market for whole fresh milk exports from Russia, comprising 67% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kazakhstan ($X), with a 25% share of total exports. It was followed by Azerbaijan, with a 4.9% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Ukraine amounted to +51.2%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Kazakhstan (-8.7% per year) and Azerbaijan (+2.6% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average whole fresh milk export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with a decrease of -3.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price continues to indicate a deep contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 when the average export price increased by 10%. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied noticeably for the major external markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the highest price was recorded for prices to Georgia ($X per ton) and Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Ukraine ($X per ton) and Azerbaijan ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Azerbaijan (-4.2%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Whole Fresh Milk Imports

Imports into the Russian Federation

Whole fresh milk imports into Russia amounted to X tons in 2022, surging by 14% against the previous year. Overall, imports posted a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 2,275% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, whole fresh milk imports expanded markedly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports recorded a significant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 1,955%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Belarus (X tons) constituted the largest whole fresh milk supplier to Russia, with a 78% share of total imports. Moreover, whole fresh milk imports from Belarus exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Kazakhstan (X tons), fourfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Belarus totaled +31.5%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Kazakhstan (+128.3% per year) and Finland (+21.4% per year).

In value terms, Belarus ($X) constituted the largest supplier of whole fresh milk to Russia, comprising 77% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kazakhstan ($X), with a 20% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Belarus amounted to +28.1%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Kazakhstan (+118.5% per year) and Finland (+18.4% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average whole fresh milk import price amounted to $X per ton, dropping by -4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price saw a noticeable reduction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 7.8% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Finland ($X per ton), while the price for Belarus ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Finland (-2.5%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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