Russian Federation: Unmanufactured Tobacco Market 2024

Unmanufactured Tobacco Market Size in the Russian Federation

In 2022, the Russian unmanufactured tobacco market was finally on the rise to reach $X for the first time since 2015, thus ending a six-year declining trend. In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a abrupt shrinkage. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Production in the Russian Federation

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco production contracted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production recorded pronounced growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 51% against the previous year. Unmanufactured tobacco production peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The average yield of tobacco (unmanufactured) in Russia surged to X kg per ha in 2022, increasing by 16% on the previous year. Over the period under review, the yield, however, recorded a deep contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 80% against the previous year. The unmanufactured tobacco yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the unmanufactured tobacco harvested area in Russia declined to X ha, shrinking by -9.1% compared with 2021 figures. Overall, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a remarkable increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the harvested area increased by 40%. The unmanufactured tobacco harvested area peaked at X ha in 2021, and then reduced in the following year.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Exports

Exports from the Russian Federation

After two years of growth, overseas shipments of tobacco (unmanufactured) decreased by -1.4% to X tons in 2022. In general, total exports indicated strong growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +9.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +23.1% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when exports increased by 109% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco exports reached $X in 2022. Overall, total exports indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports decreased by -28.3% against 2015 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 164% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan (X tons) was the main destination for unmanufactured tobacco exports from Russia, accounting for a 76% share of total exports. It was followed by the Netherlands (X tons), with a 2.5% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Kazakhstan stood at +19.9%.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) remains the key foreign market for tobacco (unmanufactured) exports from Russia, comprising 98% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the Netherlands ($X), with a 0.1% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Kazakhstan totaled +17.4%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average unmanufactured tobacco export price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by 7.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, recorded a mild decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the average export price increased by 26%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the average export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to the Netherlands totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Ukraine (-1.4%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Imports

Imports into the Russian Federation

In 2022, supplies from abroad of tobacco (unmanufactured) was finally on the rise to reach X tons after two years of decline. In general, imports, however, saw a abrupt curtailment. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 37%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco imports amounted to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports, however, continue to indicate a abrupt decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when imports increased by 64%. Imports peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Brazil (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of unmanufactured tobacco to Russia, accounting for a 25% share of total imports. Moreover, unmanufactured tobacco imports from Brazil exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, India (X tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Mozambique (X tons), with a 9.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Brazil totaled -7.6%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: India (-4.0% per year) and Mozambique (+2.7% per year).

In value terms, Brazil ($X) constituted the largest supplier of tobacco (unmanufactured) to Russia, comprising 23% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Mozambique ($X), with a 10% share of total imports. It was followed by India, with a 10% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Brazil totaled -9.8%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Mozambique (+3.0% per year) and India (-4.2% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average unmanufactured tobacco import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 an increase of 20% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the price for Bangladesh ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+3.9%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :