SADC: Dried Prune Market 2025

Dried Prune Market Size in SADC

The SADC dried prune market expanded notably to $X in 2022, growing by 13% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated strong growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -9.2% against 2020 indices. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Dried Prune Production in SADC

In value terms, dried prune production expanded significantly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a prominent increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -8.4% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when the production volume increased by 48% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Dried Prune Exports

Exports in SADC

In 2022, overseas shipments of dried prunes decreased by -53.4% to X tons for the first time since 2015, thus ending a six-year rising trend. In general, exports, however, saw prominent growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 310% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons, and then declined remarkably in the following year.

In value terms, dried prune exports reduced notably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, recorded a strong increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 202%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X, and then fell dramatically in the following year.

Exports by Country

The shipments of the one major exporters of dried prunes, namely South Africa, represented more than two-thirds of total export.

South Africa was also the fastest-growing in terms of the dried prunes exports, with a CAGR of +10.0% from 2012 to 2022. The shares of the largest exporters remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) also remains the largest dried prune supplier in SADC.

In South Africa, dried prune exports increased at an average annual rate of +14.5% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in SADC stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by 44% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +4.1%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for South Africa.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for South Africa amounted to +4.1% per year.

Dried Prune Imports

Imports in SADC

In 2022, overseas purchases of dried prunes decreased by -28.5% to X tons for the first time since 2015, thus ending a six-year rising trend. Total imports indicated a measured expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 31% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2021, and then dropped significantly in the following year.

In value terms, dried prune imports reduced to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +12.6% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when imports increased by 37% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at $X in 2021, and then reduced in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2022, South Africa (X tons) represented the largest importer of dried prunes, comprising 68% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Mauritius (X tons) and Botswana (X tons), together constituting a 22% share of total imports. The following importers - Namibia (X tons), Angola (X tons) and Seychelles (X tons) - each amounted to a 6.1% share of total imports.

South Africa was also the fastest-growing in terms of the dried prunes imports, with a CAGR of +7.5% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Botswana (+3.5%), Mauritius (+1.8%), Seychelles (+1.8%) and Namibia (+1.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. By contrast, Angola (-15.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of South Africa (+21 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2022, the share of Mauritius (-3.3 p.p.) and Angola (-14.2 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest dried prune importing markets in SADC were South Africa ($X), Mauritius ($X) and Botswana ($X), with a combined 89% share of total imports.

South Africa, with a CAGR of +12.7%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in SADC stood at $X per ton in 2022, with an increase of 28% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. Over the period under review, import prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Mauritius ($X per ton), while South Africa ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mauritius (+5.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform