SADC: Non-Cellular Polyethylene Film Market 2024

Non-Cellular Polyethylene Film Market Size in SADC

After three years of decline, the SADC non-cellular polyethylene film market increased by 9% to $X in 2021. Overall, consumption, however, saw a slight contraction. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Non-Cellular Polyethylene Film Production in SADC

In value terms, non-cellular polyethylene film production rose slightly to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, saw a perceptible decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by 7.5% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, production failed to regain momentum.

Non-Cellular Polyethylene Film Exports

Exports in SADC

In 2021, the amount of non-cellular polyethylene films, sheets, foil and strip exported in SADC reduced to X tons, which is down by -4.6% compared with 2020 figures. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 30%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons. From 2019 to 2021, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, non-cellular polyethylene film exports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Total exports indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, exports decreased by -9.7% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when exports increased by 45% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2019 to 2021, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

South Africa dominates exports structure, amounting to X tons, which was approx. 87% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Tanzania (X tons), generating a 6.6% share of total exports. The following exporters - Namibia (X tons) and Madagascar (X tons) - each resulted at a 6% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, average annual rates of growth with regard to non-cellular polyethylene film exports from South Africa stood at +2.6%. At the same time, Namibia (+21.6%) and Madagascar (+4.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Namibia emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in SADC, with a CAGR of +21.6% from 2012-2021. By contrast, Tanzania (-4.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of South Africa (+3.5 p.p.) and Namibia (+2.6 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2021, the share of Tanzania (-5.4 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) remains the largest non-cellular polyethylene film supplier in SADC, comprising 87% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Tanzania ($X), with an 8.6% share of total exports. It was followed by Namibia, with a 2.1% share.

In South Africa, non-cellular polyethylene film exports expanded at an average annual rate of +5.1% over the period from 2012-2021. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Tanzania (+0.0% per year) and Namibia (+12.0% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in SADC stood at $X per ton in 2021, rising by 33% against the previous year. Over the last nine years, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.1%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Tanzania ($X per ton), while Namibia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tanzania (+4.6%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Non-Cellular Polyethylene Film Imports

Imports in SADC

In 2021, supplies from abroad of non-cellular polyethylene films, sheets, foil and strip was finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Total imports indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +6.5% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, non-cellular polyethylene film imports soared to $X in 2021. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +6.1% from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2021, South Africa (X tons), distantly followed by Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons), Angola (X tons), Zambia (X tons) and Tanzania (X tons) represented the largest importers of non-cellular polyethylene films, sheets, foil and strip, together committing 78% of total imports. Zimbabwe (X tons), Mozambique (X tons), Madagascar (X tons), Namibia (X tons), Swaziland (X tons), Mauritius (X tons), Botswana (X tons) and Malawi (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for Democratic Republic of the Congo (with a CAGR of +32.4%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, South Africa ($X), Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X) and Angola ($X) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2021, together accounting for 68% of total imports.

Democratic Republic of the Congo, with a CAGR of +30.0%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in SADC stood at $X per ton in 2021, rising by 8.7% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, import prices attained the maximum at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Malawi ($X per ton), while Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Malawi (+3.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform