SADC: Pork Market 2025

Pork Market Size in SADC

After two years of growth, the SADC pork market decreased by -2.9% to $X in 2022. The total consumption indicated a pronounced increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +33.3% against 2014 indices. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $X in 2021, and then reduced slightly in the following year.

Pork Production in SADC

In value terms, pork production totaled $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total production indicated buoyant growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -1.3% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 79% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production reached the maximum level at $X in 2020; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were South Africa (X tons), Malawi (X tons) and Angola (X tons), together comprising 72% of total production.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Malawi (with a CAGR of +14.2%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The average pork yield shrank to X kg per head in 2022, falling by -7.8% against the year before. Over the period under review, the yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 18% against the previous year. The level of yield peaked at X kg per head in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure.

In 2022, number of animals slaughtered for pork production in SADC expanded to X heads, with an increase of 3.3% on the year before. The total number of producing animals indicated a buoyant increase from 2012 to 2022: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, number of animals slaughtered for pork production decreased by -7.9% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the number of producing animals increased by 35% against the previous year. Over the period under review, this number attained the maximum level at X heads in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, producing animals remained at a lower figure.

Pork Exports

Exports in SADC

In 2022, shipments abroad of pork decreased by -13.8% to X tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. Total exports indicated strong growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +6.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when exports increased by 31%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, pork exports shrank dramatically to $X in 2022. Total exports indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +6.1% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 37% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at $X in 2021, and then contracted remarkably in the following year.

Exports by Country

South Africa dominates exports structure, finishing at X tons, which was approx. 89% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Namibia (X tons), generating an 8.9% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to pork exports from South Africa stood at +5.3%. At the same time, Namibia (+28.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Namibia emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in SADC, with a CAGR of +28.9% from 2012-2022. Namibia (+7.6 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while South Africa saw its share reduced by -7.8% from 2012 to 2022, respectively.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) remains the largest pork supplier in SADC, comprising 90% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Namibia ($X), with a 7.1% share of total exports.

In South Africa, pork exports expanded at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in SADC amounted to $X per ton, with a decrease of -4.5% against the previous year. In general, the export price continues to indicate a mild shrinkage. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the export price increased by 17% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was South Africa ($X per ton), while Namibia totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (-1.8%).

Pork Imports

Imports in SADC

In 2022, the amount of pork imported in SADC reduced to X tons, which is down by -14.3% on the previous year. In general, imports recorded a perceptible slump. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 41% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, pork imports reduced sharply to $X in 2022. Overall, imports recorded a drastic downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 50% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

Angola (X tons) and Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons) were the main importers of pork in 2022, amounting to near 37% and 33% of total imports, respectively. It was distantly followed by South Africa (X tons), comprising a 19% share of total imports. Namibia (X tons) and Mozambique (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Mozambique (with a CAGR of +18.5%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, South Africa ($X), Angola ($X) and Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 83% of total imports. Namibia and Mozambique lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 7.9%.

In terms of the main importing countries, Mozambique, with a CAGR of +13.4%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in SADC amounted to $X per ton, declining by -6.8% against the previous year. In general, the import price recorded a slight reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 an increase of 9.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Africa ($X per ton), while Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (-0.7%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform