Report Update Nov 1, 2024

South Africa - Anhydrous Ammonia - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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South Africa: Ammonia Market 2024

Ammonia Market Size in South Africa

In 2022, the South African ammonia market increased by 0.1% to $X, rising for the third year in a row after two years of decline. In general, consumption, however, saw a noticeable descent. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when the market value increased by 8.6%. Ammonia consumption peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Ammonia Production in South Africa

In value terms, ammonia production reduced modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production recorded a deep contraction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 9.5%. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Ammonia Exports

Exports from South Africa

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was significant decline in overseas shipments of anhydrous ammonia, when their volume decreased by -7.8% to X tons. Over the period under review, exports, however, recorded a prominent increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 353%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, ammonia exports rose remarkably to $X in 2022. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate prominent growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 353% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

Namibia (X tons) was the main destination for ammonia exports from South Africa, accounting for a 66% share of total exports. Moreover, ammonia exports to Namibia exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Zimbabwe (X tons), twofold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Namibia stood at +40.7%.

In value terms, Zimbabwe ($X) and Namibia ($X) constituted the largest markets for ammonia exported from South Africa worldwide.

In terms of the main countries of destination, Namibia, with a CAGR of +30.9%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average ammonia export price amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of 14% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the average export price increased by 29%. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Zimbabwe ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Namibia amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Zimbabwe (+7.1%).

Ammonia Imports

Imports into South Africa

Ammonia imports into South Africa amounted to X tons in 2022, growing by 2.2% on the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when imports increased by 52%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at X tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, ammonia imports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Overall, imports showed a remarkable increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 247% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

Brazil (X tons), Indonesia (X tons) and Saudi Arabia (X tons) were the main suppliers of ammonia imports to South Africa, together accounting for 57% of total imports. China, Algeria, Trinidad and Tobago and Libya lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 43%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for China (with a CAGR of +206,460.1%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Brazil ($X), Indonesia ($X) and Saudi Arabia ($X) were the largest ammonia suppliers to South Africa, with a combined 61% share of total imports. China, Algeria, Libya and Trinidad and Tobago lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 39%.

China, with a CAGR of +178,325.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average ammonia import price amounted to $X per ton, jumping by 89% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price showed a prominent expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average import price increased by 145%. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the peak figure in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Algeria ($X per ton), while the price for Trinidad and Tobago ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Indonesia (+65.8%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :

What are the largest markets for anhydrous ammonia in the world?

China remains the largest ammonia consuming country worldwide, comprising approx. 29% of total volume. Moreover, ammonia consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States, threefold. India ranked third in terms of total consumption with an 8.8% share.

What are the largest producers of anhydrous ammonia in the world?

China remains the largest ammonia producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 28% of total volume. Moreover, ammonia production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Russia, threefold. The United States ranked third in terms of total production with an 8.3% share.

What are the leading suppliers of anhydrous ammonia to South Africa?

In value terms, Trinidad and Tobago constituted the largest supplier of ammonia to South Africa, comprising 70% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Algeria, with a 30% share of total imports.

What are the leading importers of anhydrous ammonia from South Africa?

In value terms, Zimbabwe remains the key foreign market for ammonia exports from South Africa, comprising 68% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Namibia, with a 29% share of total exports.

What is the average export price for anhydrous ammonia in South Africa?

In 2020, the average ammonia export price amounted to $451 per ton, dropping by -4.6% against the previous year.

What is the average import price for anhydrous ammonia in South Africa?

In 2020, the average ammonia import price amounted to $232 per ton, declining by -29.9% against the previous year.

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the ammonia market in South Africa. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

Prodcom 20151075 - Anhydrous ammonia

Country coverage:

South Africa

Data coverage:

Market volume and value
Per Capita consumption
Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
Trade (exports and imports) in South Africa
Export and import prices
Market trends, drivers and restraints
Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

Take advantage of the latest data
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Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
How to load your idle production capacity
How to boost your sales on overseas markets
How to increase your profit margins
How to make your supply chain more sustainable
How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
How to outsource production to other countries
How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

1. INTRODUCTION

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A Quick Overview of Market Performance
1. KEY FINDINGS
2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
3. MARKET OVERVIEW

Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects
1. MARKET SIZE
2. MARKET STRUCTURE
3. TRADE BALANCE
4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. PRODUCTION

The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
8. IMPORTS
The Largest Import Supplying Countries
1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. EXPORTS
The Largest Destinations for Exports
1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
LIST OF TABLES
1. Key Findings In 2023
2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
3. Market Value, 2012–2023
4. Per Capita Consumption In 2012-2023
5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
7. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
10. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
LIST OF FIGURES
1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
2. Market Value, 2012–2023
3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
5. Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
6. Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
7. Per Capita Consumption, 2012-2023
8. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
9. Market Value Forecast to 2030
10. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
11. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
12. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
13. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
14. Production Volume And Growth
15. Exports And Growth
16. Export Prices And Growth
17. Market Size And Growth
18. Per Capita Consumption
19. Imports And Growth
20. Import Prices
21. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
22. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
23. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
24. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
25. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
26. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
27. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
28. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
29. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
30. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
31. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
32. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
33. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
34. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023