
South Africa - Ethyl Alcohol - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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View PricingSouth Africa: Ethanol Market 2025
Ethanol Market Size in South Africa
In 2022, the South African ethanol market decreased by -5.5% to $X, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a mild increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -10.0% against 2020 indices. Ethanol consumption peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.
Ethanol Production in South Africa
In value terms, ethanol production fell to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the production volume increased by 17%. Ethanol production peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.
Ethanol Exports
Exports from South Africa
In 2022, overseas shipments of ethyl alcohol increased by 1.1% to X litres, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. Overall, total exports indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +11.3% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 25% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X litres in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, ethanol exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. In general, total exports indicated resilient growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +34.5% against 2020 indices. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Exports by Country
The United Arab Emirates (X litres), Belgium (X litres) and the United States (X litres) were the main destinations of ethanol exports from South Africa, together comprising 52% of total exports. South Korea, Singapore, Japan, Tanzania, Angola, Ghana, Jordan, Nigeria, Madagascar and Zimbabwe lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 38%.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Japan (with a CAGR of +395.1%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the United Arab Emirates ($X), Belgium ($X) and the United States ($X) were the largest markets for ethanol exported from South Africa worldwide, together accounting for 50% of total exports. These countries were followed by South Korea, Singapore, Tanzania, Japan, Angola, Ghana, Zimbabwe, Madagascar, Nigeria and Jordan, which together accounted for a further 38%.
Among the main countries of destination, Japan, with a CAGR of +381.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Export Prices by Country
The average ethanol export price stood at $X per litre in 2022, surging by 20% against the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Zimbabwe ($X per litre), while the average price for exports to Jordan ($X per litre) was amongst the lowest.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Tanzania (+3.2%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.
Ethanol Imports
Imports into South Africa
In 2022, the amount of ethyl alcohol imported into South Africa contracted markedly to X litres, shrinking by -98.1% compared with 2021. Over the period under review, imports recorded a precipitous decrease. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when imports increased by 304% against the previous year. Imports peaked at X litres in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, ethanol imports reduced notably to $X in 2022. Overall, imports faced a significant curtailment. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when imports increased by 360% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.
Imports by Country
In 2022, Swaziland (X litres) constituted the largest supplier of ethanol to South Africa, with a 69% share of total imports. Moreover, ethanol imports from Swaziland exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, the United States (X litres), sixfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Switzerland (X litres), with a 5.7% share.
From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Swaziland totaled +16.2%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the United States (+49.7% per year) and Switzerland (+76.3% per year).
In value terms, the largest ethanol suppliers to South Africa were Swaziland ($X), Germany ($X) and the United States ($X), together accounting for 76% of total imports. Switzerland, France and Pakistan lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 7.1%.
In terms of the main suppliers, Switzerland, with a CAGR of +19.6%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices by Country
The average ethanol import price stood at $X per litre in 2022, jumping by 160% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price saw a prominent expansion. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per litre), while the price for Swaziland ($X per litre) was amongst the lowest.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Zimbabwe (+5.0%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.
Source: IndexBox Platform
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the ethanol market in South Africa. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.
Product coverage:
- Prodcom 20147400 - Undenatured ethyl alcohol of an alcoholic strength by volume. .80 % (important: excluding alcohol duty)
- Prodcom 20147500 - Denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits, of any strength
Country coverage:
- South Africa
Data coverage:
- Market volume and value
- Per Capita consumption
- Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
- Trade (exports and imports) in South Africa
- Export and import prices
- Market trends, drivers and restraints
- Key market players and their profiles
Reasons to buy this report:
- Take advantage of the latest data
- Find deeper insights into current market developments
- Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.
In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
- How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
- How to load your idle production capacity
- How to boost your sales on overseas markets
- How to increase your profit margins
- How to make your supply chain more sustainable
- How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
- How to outsource production to other countries
- How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
- REPORT DESCRIPTION
- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
- DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
- GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
- KEY FINDINGS
- MARKET TRENDSThis Chapter is Available Only for the Professional EditionPRO
3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects
- MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- MARKET STRUCTURE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- TRADE BALANCE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- MARKET FORECAST TO 2035
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
- TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
- BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
- MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
- MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
- MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORTS
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
- TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
- TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
- LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export
- TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
- UNSATURATED MARKETS
- TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
- MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
- PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
8. IMPORTS
The Largest Import Supplying Countries
- IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
- IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
9. EXPORTS
The Largest Destinations for Exports
- EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024) AND FORECAST (2025–2035)
- EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
- EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2024)
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
LIST OF TABLES
- Key Findings In 2024
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Export Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
LIST OF FIGURES
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Trade Balance, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Trade Balance, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Per Capita Consumption: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Market Volume Forecast to 2035
- Market Value Forecast to 2035
- Products: Market Size and Growth, By Type
- Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
- Products: Exports and Growth, By Type
- Products: Export Prices and Growth, By Type
- Production Volume and Growth
- Exports and Growth
- Export Prices and Growth
- Market Size and Growth
- Per Capita Consumption
- Imports and Growth
- Import Prices
- Production, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Production, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
- Exports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2024) and Forecast (2025–2035)
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2024
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2024
- Export Prices, By Country, 2012–2024
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