South-Eastern Asia: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in South-Eastern Asia

The Southeast Asian grain market declined modestly to $X in 2022, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. In general, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Grain Production in South-Eastern Asia

In value terms, grain production fell slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, posted a buoyant increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Indonesia (X tons), Vietnam (X tons) and Thailand (X tons), together comprising X% of total production. Myanmar, the Philippines, Cambodia and Lao People's Democratic Republic lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Cambodia (with a CAGR of X%), while production for the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the production figures.

In 2022, the average yield of cereal grains in South-Eastern Asia fell modestly to X tons per ha, remaining constant against the year before. Over the period under review, the yield, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the yield increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the grain yield remained at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of cereal grains production in South-Eastern Asia was estimated at X ha, approximately reflecting the year before. In general, the harvested area, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of harvested area peaked at X ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Grain Exports

Exports in South-Eastern Asia

In 2022, shipments abroad of cereal grains increased by X% to X tons, rising for the third consecutive year after two years of decline. Over the period under review, exports showed a prominent expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of X%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, grain exports expanded notably to $X in 2022. In general, exports showed a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Myanmar was the major exporting country with an export of around X tons, which accounted for X% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Vietnam (X tons), Lao People's Democratic Republic (X tons) and Indonesia (X tons), together comprising a X% share of total exports. Thailand (X tons) held a relatively small share of total exports.

Exports from Myanmar increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Vietnam (X%) and Indonesia (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Vietnam emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in South-Eastern Asia, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Lao People's Democratic Republic (X%) and Thailand (X%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Myanmar (X p.p.), Vietnam (X p.p.) and Indonesia (X p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while Thailand and Lao People's Democratic Republic saw its share reduced by X% and X% from 2012 to 2022, respectively.

In value terms, Myanmar ($X) remains the largest grain supplier in South-Eastern Asia, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Thailand ($X), with an X% share of total exports. It was followed by Vietnam, with an X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Myanmar stood at X%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Thailand (X% per year) and Vietnam (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in South-Eastern Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, waning by X% against the previous year. Export price indicated a slight increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the export price increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton, and then fell slightly in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Thailand ($X per ton), while Lao People's Democratic Republic ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Thailand (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports in South-Eastern Asia

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in overseas purchases of cereal grains, when their volume decreased by X% to X tons. Total imports indicated buoyant growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, grain imports reached $X in 2022. Total imports indicated a prominent increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2017 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Vietnam (X tons), distantly followed by Indonesia (X tons), the Philippines (X tons), Malaysia (X tons) and Thailand (X tons) represented the major importers of cereal grains, together generating X% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Vietnam (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Indonesia ($X), Vietnam ($X) and the Philippines ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising X% of total imports.

The Philippines, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in South-Eastern Asia amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the import price increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Indonesia ($X per ton), while Vietnam ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Malaysia (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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