South-Eastern Asia: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in South-Eastern Asia

The Southeast Asian grain market contracted to $X in 2022, leveling off at the previous year. Overall, consumption, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Grain Production in South-Eastern Asia

In value terms, grain production dropped to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, saw a strong increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Indonesia (X tons), Vietnam (X tons) and Thailand (X tons), with a combined X% share of total production. Myanmar, the Philippines, Cambodia and Lao People's Democratic Republic lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Cambodia (with a CAGR of X%), while production for the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the production figures.

The average grain yield declined to X tons per ha in 2022, approximately equating the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of X%. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the grain yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The grain harvested area reached X ha in 2022, leveling off at the previous year's figure. In general, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the harvested area increased by X%. The level of harvested area peaked at X ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Grain Exports

Exports in South-Eastern Asia

In 2022, shipments abroad of grain increased by X% to X tons, rising for the third consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, exports enjoyed strong growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when exports increased by X%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, grain exports expanded significantly to $X in 2022. Overall, exports posted a prominent increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when exports increased by X%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

Myanmar was the major exporting country with an export of about X tons, which amounted to X% of total exports. Vietnam (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total exports with a X% share, followed by Lao People's Democratic Republic (X%) and Indonesia (X%). Thailand (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to grain exports from Myanmar stood at X%. At the same time, Vietnam (X%) and Indonesia (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Vietnam emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in South-Eastern Asia, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Lao People's Democratic Republic (X%) and Thailand (X%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Myanmar (X p.p.), Vietnam (X p.p.) and Indonesia (X p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of Thailand (X p.p.) and Lao People's Democratic Republic (X p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Myanmar ($X) remains the largest grain supplier in South-Eastern Asia, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Thailand ($X), with an X% share of total exports. It was followed by Vietnam, with an X% share.

In Myanmar, grain exports expanded at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Thailand (X% per year) and Vietnam (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in South-Eastern Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, waning by X% against the previous year. Export price indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of X% against the previous year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton, and then shrank in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Thailand ($X per ton), while Lao People's Democratic Republic ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Thailand (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports in South-Eastern Asia

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in supplies from abroad of grain, when their volume decreased by X% to X tons. Total imports indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 when imports increased by X%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2021, and then fell in the following year.

In value terms, grain imports expanded rapidly to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated a strong expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when imports increased by X%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Vietnam (X tons), distantly followed by Indonesia (X tons), the Philippines (X tons), Malaysia (X tons) and Thailand (X tons) were the key importers of grain, together committing X% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Vietnam (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Indonesia ($X), Vietnam ($X) and the Philippines ($X) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined X% share of total imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, the Philippines, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in South-Eastern Asia amounted to $X per ton, rising by X% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Indonesia ($X per ton), while Vietnam ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Malaysia (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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