Sudan: Wheat Market 2025

Wheat Market Size in Sudan

The Sudanese wheat market amounted to $X in 2022, with an increase of 7.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a slight increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -6.8% against 2020 indices. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Wheat Production in Sudan

In value terms, wheat production declined modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, recorded a abrupt curtailment. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 98% against the previous year. Wheat production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In 2022, the average yield of wheat in Sudan declined slightly to X tons per ha, reducing by -1.8% compared with the year before. In general, the yield indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2022: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, wheat yield increased by +1.5% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 62% against the previous year. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the average wheat yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of wheat production in Sudan expanded markedly to X ha, growing by 12% on 2021 figures. Over the period under review, the total harvested area indicated notable growth from 2012 to 2022: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, wheat harvested area decreased by -9.6% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 67%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to wheat production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Wheat Exports

Exports from Sudan

In 2022, after five years of growth, there was significant decline in overseas shipments of wheat, when their volume decreased by -8.3% to X tons. Overall, exports, however, showed a significant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by 23,561% against the previous year. The exports peaked at X tons in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

In value terms, wheat exports contracted to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, continue to indicate significant growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by 18,156% against the previous year. The exports peaked at $X in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

Exports by Country

The United Arab Emirates (X tons) was the main destination for wheat exports from Sudan, with a approx. 100% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to the United Arab Emirates amounted to +78.1%.

In value terms, the United Arab Emirates ($X) also remains the key foreign market for wheat exports from Sudan.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to the United Arab Emirates stood at +45.7%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average wheat export price amounted to $X per ton, rising by 1.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a deep reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average export price increased by 65% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for the United Arab Emirates.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for the United Arab Emirates amounted to -18.2% per year.

Wheat Imports

Imports into Sudan

In 2022, approx. X tons of wheat were imported into Sudan; with an increase of 20% compared with 2021. In general, imports showed a temperate increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 42%. Imports peaked at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, wheat imports expanded markedly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 48% against the previous year. Imports peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Russia (X tons), Australia (X tons) and Argentina (X tons) were the main suppliers of wheat imports to Sudan, together accounting for 62% of total imports. Romania, the United States, Brazil, Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, Lithuania, Germany and Canada lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by the United States (with a CAGR of +86.9%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Russia ($X), Australia ($X) and Romania ($X) were the largest wheat suppliers to Sudan, with a combined 54% share of total imports. Argentina, Brazil, the United States, Kazakhstan, Bulgaria, Lithuania, Germany and Canada lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 39%.

The United States, with a CAGR of +60.1%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average wheat import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with a decrease of -11% against the previous year. In general, the import price continues to indicate a perceptible decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 23% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while the price for Argentina ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Lithuania (+8.5%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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