Tajikistan: Wheat Market 2020

Wheat Market Size in Tajikistan

The revenue of the wheat market in Tajikistan amounted to $X in 2018, stabilizing at the previous year. Overall, the total market indicated a prominent expansion from 2007 to 2018: its value increased at an average annual rate of +X% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, wheat consumption increased by +X% against 2014 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2012 when the market value increased by X% y-o-y. Over the period under review, the wheat market reached its peak figure level in 2018 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Wheat Production in Tajikistan

In value terms, wheat production stood at $X in 2018 estimated in export prices. Overall, the total output indicated a moderate increase from 2007 to 2018: its value increased at an average annual rate of +X% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2018 figures, wheat production increased by +X% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008 with an increase of X% year-to-year. In that year, wheat production attained its peak level of $X. From 2009 to 2018, wheat production growth remained at a lower figure.

Average yield of wheat in Tajikistan totaled X ton per ha in 2018, surging by X% against the previous year. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +X% over the period from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2009 when yield increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the wheat yield attained its maximum level in 2018 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2018, approx. X ha of wheat were harvested in Tajikistan; approximately mirroring the previous year. In general, the wheat harvested area continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008 when harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. The global wheat harvested area peaked at X ha in 2009; however, from 2010 to 2018, harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Wheat Exports

Exports by Country

The exports of the seven major exporters of wheat, namely Australia, Canada, the U.S., France, Russia, Argentina and Ukraine, represented more than two-thirds of total export. The following exporters - Germany (X tons), Kazakhstan (X tons), Romania (X tons), Bulgaria (X tons) and Hungary (X tons) - together made up X% of total exports.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of exports, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Ukraine, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the U.S. ($X), Canada ($X) and Russia ($X) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2018, with a combined X% share of total exports. Australia, France, Ukraine, Argentina, Germany, Romania, Kazakhstan, Bulgaria and Hungary lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X experienced the highest growth rate of exports, among the main exporting countries over the last eleven years, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The wheat export price in Tajikistan stood at $X per ton in 2018, approximately mirroring the previous year. In general, the wheat export price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. In that year, the export prices for wheat attained their peak level of $X per ton. From 2009 to 2018, the growth in terms of the export prices for wheat remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was the U.S. ($X per ton), while Argentina ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the U.S., while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Wheat Imports

Imports into Tajikistan

In 2018, the imports of wheat into Tajikistan totaled X tons, approximately reflecting the previous year. Overall, wheat imports, however, continue to indicate a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2009 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, wheat imports reached their peak figure at X tons in 2017, and then declined slightly in the following year.

In value terms, wheat imports totaled $X in 2018. Over the period under review, wheat imports, however, continue to indicate prominent growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2012 with an increase of X% year-to-year. Over the period under review, wheat imports attained their maximum at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2018, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

The imports of the twelve major importers of wheat, namely Indonesia, Egypt, Algeria, Bangladesh, Japan, Italy, the Philippines, Brazil, India, Spain, Turkey and the Netherlands, represented more than third of total import.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of imports, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by India, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Indonesia ($X), Egypt ($X) and Algeria ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2018, together comprising X% of total imports. Italy, the Philippines, Japan, Brazil, India, Bangladesh, Turkey, Spain, the Netherlands and Tajikistan lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X recorded the highest growth rate of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the last eleven-year period, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The wheat import price in Tajikistan stood at $X per ton in 2018, lowering by -X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the wheat import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008 an increase of X% year-to-year. Over the period under review, the import prices for wheat attained their peak figure at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2018, import prices failed to regain their momentum.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2018, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in the Philippines ($X per ton) and Italy ($X per ton), while Bangladesh ($X per ton) and Indonesia ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Brazil, while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform