Tanzania: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in Tanzania

The Tanzanian grain market expanded remarkably to $X in 2022, growing by X% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Grain Production in Tanzania

In value terms, grain production amounted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when the production volume increased by X%. Grain production peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The average yield of grain in Tanzania reached X tons per ha in 2022, leveling off at 2021 figures. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of X%. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the average grain yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of grain were harvested in Tanzania; approximately equating the year before. In general, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The grain harvested area peaked at X ha in 2021, and then dropped slightly in the following year.

Grain Exports

Exports from Tanzania

In 2022, exports of grain from Tanzania fell rapidly to X tons, with a decrease of X% against the year before. Over the period under review, exports, however, posted a buoyant expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by X%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons, and then dropped dramatically in the following year.

In value terms, grain exports reduced remarkably to $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, saw a strong expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of X%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X, and then declined sharply in the following year.

Exports by Country

Kenya (X tons) was the main destination for grain exports from Tanzania, with a X% share of total exports. Moreover, grain exports to Kenya exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Uganda (X tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Rwanda (X tons), with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Kenya stood at X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (X% per year) and Rwanda (X% per year).

In value terms, Kenya ($X) remains the key foreign market for grain exports from Tanzania, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Uganda ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Rwanda, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Kenya stood at X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (X% per year) and Rwanda (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain export price amounted to $X per ton, declining by X% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was South Sudan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Kenya ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Uganda (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Grain Imports

Imports into Tanzania

Grain imports into Tanzania surged to X tons in 2022, increasing by X% compared with the year before. In general, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in years to come.

In value terms, grain imports soared to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports posted noticeable growth. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Argentina (X tons), Australia (X tons) and Russia (X tons) were the main suppliers of grain imports to Tanzania, with a combined X% share of total imports. Poland, Latvia, Ukraine, India, Germany, Canada and Lithuania lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Poland (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Argentina ($X), Australia ($X) and Russia ($X) appeared to be the largest grain suppliers to Tanzania, together accounting for X% of total imports. Poland, Latvia, Germany, India, Canada, Ukraine and Lithuania lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

In terms of the main suppliers, Poland, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average grain import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by X% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a temperate increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain import price increased by X% against 2020 indices. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per ton), while the price for Ukraine ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Lithuania (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform