Tanzania: Market for Wheat and Meslin Flour 2024

Market Size for Wheat and Meslin Flour in Tanzania

In 2022, the Tanzanian wheat and meslin flour market decreased by -4.4% to $X, falling for the second consecutive year after five years of growth. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Production of Wheat and Meslin Flour in Tanzania

In value terms, wheat and meslin flour production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

Exports of Wheat and Meslin Flour

Exports from Tanzania

In 2022, wheat and meslin flour exports from Tanzania surged to X tons, picking up by 351% against 2021. Over the period under review, exports, however, continue to indicate a deep slump. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, wheat and meslin flour exports surged to $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, recorded a abrupt slump. The exports peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons) was the main destination for wheat and meslin flour exports from Tanzania, accounting for a 82% share of total exports. Moreover, wheat and meslin flour exports to Democratic Republic of the Congo exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Burundi (X tons), more than tenfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by China (X tons), with a 2.4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Democratic Republic of the Congo amounted to -13.6%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Burundi (-6.5% per year) and China (0.0% per year).

In value terms, Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X) remains the key foreign market for wheat and meslin flour exports from Tanzania, comprising 80% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Burundi ($X), with a 7.5% share of total exports. It was followed by Malawi, with a 2.6% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Democratic Republic of the Congo amounted to -12.8%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Burundi (-3.5% per year) and Malawi (+193.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average wheat and meslin flour export price amounted to $X per ton, growing by 48% against the previous year. In general, export price indicated a slight increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, wheat and meslin flour export price increased by +62.2% against 2019 indices. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat for the major foreign markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the countries with the highest prices were Burundi ($X per ton) and Malawi ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to China ($X per ton) and Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Malawi (+21.0%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Wheat and Meslin Flour

Imports into Tanzania

For the third consecutive year, Tanzania recorded decline in supplies from abroad of wheat and meslin flour, which decreased by -99.1% to X tons in 2022. In general, imports faced a precipitous decline. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 119% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, wheat and meslin flour imports declined rapidly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports faced a precipitous decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 160% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

Kenya (X tons), India (X tons) and the United Arab Emirates (X tons) were the main suppliers of wheat and meslin flour imports to Tanzania, with a combined 95% share of total imports. Turkey and Romania lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 4.3%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Romania (with a CAGR of +59.7%), while imports for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, the largest wheat and meslin flour suppliers to Tanzania were Kenya ($X), the United Arab Emirates ($X) and India ($X), with a combined 96% share of total imports. Turkey and Romania lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 2.6%.

Romania, with a CAGR of +52.2%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average wheat and meslin flour import price amounted to $X per ton, jumping by 64% against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate tangible growth. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Kenya ($X per ton), while the price for Turkey ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+7.9%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform