Uganda: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Uganda

The Ugandan flaked or rolled cereal market amounted to $X in 2022, with an increase of 7.7% against the previous year. In general, the total consumption indicated a strong expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +7.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -6.6% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Uganda

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production rose sharply to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production enjoyed a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 38% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports from Uganda

In 2022, the amount of flaked or rolled cereals exported from Uganda shrank markedly to X tons, falling by -33.9% against the previous year. Overall, exports recorded a abrupt shrinkage. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 688%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports fell to $X in 2022. In general, exports recorded a deep slump. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 1,181% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Kenya (X tons), Sudan (X tons) and Burundi (X tons) were the main destinations of flaked or rolled cereal exports from Uganda, together comprising 84% of total exports. South Sudan, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Canada lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 15%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Canada (with a CAGR of +37.2%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, Sudan ($X) remains the key foreign market for flaked or rolled cereals exports from Uganda, comprising 67% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Burundi ($X), with a 13% share of total exports. It was followed by Kenya, with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Sudan amounted to -10.5%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Burundi (-0.8% per year) and Kenya (-6.1% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average flaked or rolled cereal export price amounted to $X per ton, growing by 35% against the previous year. Overall, the export price enjoyed a remarkable increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 155%. The export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Sudan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Kenya ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Sudan (+18.6%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports into Uganda

In 2022, overseas purchases of flaked or rolled cereals were finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a three-year declining trend. Over the period under review, imports posted a tangible increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 250% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports surged to $X in 2022. Overall, imports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 133% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Kenya (X tons) constituted the largest flaked or rolled cereal supplier to Uganda, accounting for a 51% share of total imports. Moreover, flaked or rolled cereal imports from Kenya exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, the UK (X tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Tanzania (X tons), with an 11% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Kenya amounted to +8.5%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the UK (+17.2% per year) and Tanzania (-7.7% per year).

In value terms, Kenya ($X), the UK ($X) and South Africa ($X) appeared to be the largest flaked or rolled cereal suppliers to Uganda, with a combined 81% share of total imports.

Among the main suppliers, the UK, with a CAGR of +11.2%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average flaked or rolled cereal import price amounted to $X per ton, waning by -9.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price showed a perceptible downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 an increase of 124%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the UK ($X per ton), while the price for Rwanda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tanzania (+2.9%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform