Ukraine: Corrugated Paper Box Market 2025

Corrugated Paper Box Market Size in Ukraine

In 2022, the Ukrainian corrugated paper box market increased by 0.6% to $X, rising for the seventh consecutive year after three years of decline. In general, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Corrugated Paper Box Production in Ukraine

In value terms, corrugated paper box production dropped slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, saw a slight downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when the production volume increased by 23%. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Corrugated Paper Box Exports

Exports from Ukraine

In 2022, shipments abroad of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard decreased by -56.3% to X tons, falling for the fourth year in a row after three years of growth. In general, exports saw a abrupt curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 19% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, corrugated paper box exports contracted remarkably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports saw a abrupt setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when exports increased by 34%. The exports peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Moldova (X tons) was the main destination for corrugated paper box exports from Ukraine, with a 50% share of total exports. Moreover, corrugated paper box exports to Moldova exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Germany (X tons), fivefold. Poland (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 7.4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Moldova stood at -1.2%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Germany (+35.9% per year) and Poland (+3.0% per year).

In value terms, Moldova ($X) remains the key foreign market for cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard exports from Ukraine, comprising 38% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Germany ($X), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by Hungary, with an 11% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Moldova amounted to +3.1%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Germany (+40.3% per year) and Hungary (+5.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average corrugated paper box export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, jumping by 32% against the previous year. Overall, export price indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, corrugated paper box export price increased by +118.0% against 2016 indices. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Slovakia ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Turkey ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Latvia (+11.3%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Corrugated Paper Box Imports

Imports into Ukraine

In 2022, approx. X tons of cartons, boxes and cases of corrugated paper or paperboard were imported into Ukraine; which is down by -5.8% on the year before. In general, total imports indicated modest growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +7.0% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 46% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, corrugated paper box imports reduced to $X in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated a noticeable expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +104.0% against 2016 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when imports increased by 29% against the previous year. Imports peaked at $X in 2021, and then fell in the following year.

Imports by Country

Poland (X tons), Austria (X tons) and Hungary (X tons) were the main suppliers of corrugated paper box imports to Ukraine, with a combined 67% share of total imports. Romania, Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, China, Turkey and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 27%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Romania (with a CAGR of +51.0%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Austria ($X), Poland ($X) and Hungary ($X) appeared to be the largest corrugated paper box suppliers to Ukraine, with a combined 68% share of total imports. Romania, China, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Italy and Turkey lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 26%.

Romania, with a CAGR of +54.4%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average corrugated paper box import price amounted to $X per ton, waning by -4.9% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 an increase of 18% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($X per ton), while the price for Turkey ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+8.1%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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