Uzbekistan: Unmanufactured Tobacco Market 2024

Unmanufactured Tobacco Market Size in Uzbekistan

After two years of decline, the Uzbek unmanufactured tobacco market increased by 15% to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, consumption, however, showed a perceptible descent. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Production in Uzbekistan

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco production declined to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a abrupt curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 84%. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In 2022, the average yield of tobacco (unmanufactured) in Uzbekistan totaled X tons per ha, growing by 10% on the previous year. In general, the yield indicated strong growth from 2012 to 2022: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +6.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, unmanufactured tobacco yield decreased by -13.1% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when the yield increased by 74% against the previous year. The unmanufactured tobacco yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of tobacco (unmanufactured) were harvested in Uzbekistan; picking up by 10% on the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, faced a deep setback. The unmanufactured tobacco harvested area peaked at X ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Exports

Exports from Uzbekistan

In 2022, overseas shipments of tobacco (unmanufactured) increased by 175% to X tons, rising for the second consecutive year after three years of decline. In general, exports showed resilient growth. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco exports soared to $X in 2022. Overall, exports showed a resilient increase. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Russia (X tons) was the main destination for unmanufactured tobacco exports from Uzbekistan, accounting for a 72% share of total exports. Moreover, unmanufactured tobacco exports to Russia exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Tajikistan (X tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Ukraine (X tons), with a 4.9% share.

From 2017 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Russia totaled +25.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Tajikistan (+43.2% per year) and Ukraine (-30.1% per year).

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the key foreign market for tobacco (unmanufactured) exports from Uzbekistan, comprising 85% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Ukraine ($X), with a 6.5% share of total exports. It was followed by Belarus, with a 5.8% share.

From 2017 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Russia stood at +35.7%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Ukraine (-27.3% per year) and Belarus (0.0% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average unmanufactured tobacco export price amounted to $X per ton, rising by 13% against the previous year. In general, the export price posted a noticeable increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 86% against the previous year. The export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Belarus ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Tajikistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2017 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Kazakhstan (+9.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Imports

Imports into Uzbekistan

In 2022, imports of tobacco (unmanufactured) into Uzbekistan soared to X tons, increasing by 100% compared with the year before. In general, imports posted buoyant growth. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco imports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated tangible growth from 2017 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last five years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Brazil (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of unmanufactured tobacco to Uzbekistan, accounting for a 52% share of total imports. Moreover, unmanufactured tobacco imports from Brazil exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, India (X tons), fivefold. The third position in this ranking was held by Italy (X tons), with an 8.8% share.

From 2017 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Brazil amounted to +54.4%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: India (+30.6% per year) and Italy (+67.9% per year).

In value terms, the largest unmanufactured tobacco suppliers to Uzbekistan were Brazil ($X), India ($X) and Mozambique ($X), together accounting for 60% of total imports.

Mozambique, with a CAGR of +560.0%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average unmanufactured tobacco import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with a decrease of -13.1% against the previous year. Overall, the import price showed a abrupt decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 1.5%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2019 to 2022, the average import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Russia ($X per ton), while the price for China ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2017 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mozambique (+109.6%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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