Uzbekistan: Walnut Market 2025

Walnut Market Size in Uzbekistan

The Uzbek walnut market totaled $X in 2021, growing by 8.2% against the previous year. In general, the total consumption indicated a notable expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption decreased by -6.3% against 2019 indices. Over the period under review, the market reached the peak level at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2021, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Walnut Production in Uzbekistan

In value terms, walnut production surged to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, posted moderate growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the production volume increased by 104% against the previous year. Walnut production peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2021, production failed to regain momentum.

In 2021, the average yield of walnuts in Uzbekistan declined modestly to X tons per ha, almost unchanged from the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 20% against the previous year. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2014 to 2021, the growth of the average walnut yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The walnut harvested area in Uzbekistan shrank to X ha in 2021, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 25%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to walnut production reached the maximum at X ha in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2021, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Walnut Exports

Exports from Uzbekistan

For the fourth consecutive year, Uzbekistan recorded decline in overseas shipments of walnuts, which decreased by -38.7% to X tons in 2021. Overall, exports showed a dramatic decrease. The smallest decline of -13.3% was in 2020. Over the period under review, the exports attained the peak figure at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, walnut exports declined sharply to $X in 2021. In general, exports saw a dramatic slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 24% against the previous year. The exports peaked at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Turkey (X tons) was the main destination for walnut exports from Uzbekistan, with a approx. 99% share of total exports.

From 2017 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Turkey totaled -32.7%.

In value terms, Turkey ($X) also remains the key foreign market for walnut exports from Uzbekistan.

From 2017 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value to Turkey amounted to -25.4%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average walnut export price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by 29% against the previous year. In general, the export price enjoyed a remarkable increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 when the average export price increased by 93%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2020 to 2021, the average export prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Turkey.

From 2017 to 2021, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Turkey amounted to +10.9% per year.

Walnut Imports

Imports into Uzbekistan

For the third consecutive year, Uzbekistan recorded growth in supplies from abroad of walnuts, which increased by 40% to X tons in 2021. In general, imports posted a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when imports increased by 723% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, walnut imports soared to $X in 2021. Overall, imports showed a significant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 520%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Ukraine (X tons), China (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons) were the main suppliers of walnut imports to Uzbekistan, with a combined 99% share of total imports.

From 2017 to 2021, the biggest increases were in China (with a CAGR of +107.5%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, the largest walnut suppliers to Uzbekistan were Ukraine ($X), China ($X) and Kyrgyzstan ($X), together accounting for 98% of total imports.

In terms of the main suppliers, China, with a CAGR of +149.2%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the average walnut import price amounted to $X per ton, jumping by 45% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a resilient expansion from 2017 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +7.1% over the last four years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, walnut import price increased by +51.8% against 2019 indices. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while the price for Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2017 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+20.1%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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