Global Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size

In 2022, the global grain market increased by X% to $X.7B, rising for the sixth consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the global market attained the peak level in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Grain Production

In value terms, grain production dropped modestly to $X.6B in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated measured growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by X% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the production volume increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $X.2B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (X tons), the United States (X tons) and India (X tons), with a combined X% share of global production. Russia, Brazil, Argentina, Indonesia, Ukraine, France, Bangladesh, Canada, Australia and Pakistan lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Argentina (with a CAGR of X%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the global average yield of cereal grains reached X tons per ha, standing approx. at 2021 figures. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the average grain yield attained the maximum level in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The global grain harvested area shrank to X ha in 2022, approximately reflecting the previous year. In general, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the harvested area increased by X%. The global harvested area peaked at X ha in 2021, and then fell slightly in the following year.

Grain Exports

Exports

After ten years of growth, shipments abroad of cereal grains decreased by X% to X tons in 2022. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at X tons in 2021, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

In value terms, grain exports surged to $X in 2022. In general, total exports indicated measured growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by X% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

In 2022, the United States (X tons), distantly followed by Argentina (X tons), Brazil (X tons), Australia (X tons), Ukraine (X tons), France (X tons) and Canada (X tons) represented the main exporters of cereal grains, together mixing up X% of total exports. Russia (X tons), Romania (X tons), India (X tons), Germany (X tons), Poland (X tons) and Kazakhstan (X tons) held a little share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Poland (with a CAGR of X%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($X) remains the largest grain supplier worldwide, comprising X% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Argentina ($X), with a X% share of global exports. It was followed by Brazil, with a X% share.

In the United States, grain exports expanded at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Argentina (X% per year) and Brazil (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain export price amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated modest growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2016 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the maximum in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($X per ton), while Ukraine ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (X%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports

In 2022, the amount of cereal grains imported worldwide amounted to X tons, surging by X% on the year before. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, grain imports soared to $X in 2022. In general, total imports indicated a moderate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2016 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, China (X tons), followed by Mexico (X tons) and Japan (X tons) represented the largest importers of cereal grains, together constituting X% of total imports. Algeria (X tons), Spain (X tons), South Korea (X tons), Vietnam (X tons), Egypt (X tons), Italy (X tons), Turkey (X tons), the Netherlands (X tons), Saudi Arabia (X tons) and Indonesia (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Vietnam (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($X), Japan ($X) and Mexico ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined X% share of global imports.

China, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average grain import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average import price increased by X%. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Japan ($X per ton), while Vietnam ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (X%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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