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World - Grain - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Global Grain Market 2024

Grain Market Size

For the third consecutive year, the global grain market recorded growth in sales value, which increased by X% to $X.1B in 2022. Overall, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Global consumption peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Grain Production

In value terms, grain production reduced slightly to $X.6B in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated a temperate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by X% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the production volume increased by X%. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum level at $X.2B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (X tons), the United States (X tons) and India (X tons), together comprising X% of global production. Russia, Brazil, Argentina, Indonesia, Ukraine, France, Bangladesh, Canada, Australia and Pakistan lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the leading producing countries, was attained by Argentina (with a CAGR of X%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The global average grain yield reached X tons per ha in 2022, almost unchanged from the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The global yield peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of grain were harvested worldwide; leveling off at the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grain production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2021, and then fell in the following year.

Grain Exports

Exports

After ten years of growth, shipments abroad of grain decreased by X% to X tons in 2022. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure at X tons in 2021, and then fell slightly in the following year.

In value terms, grain exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Overall, total exports indicated a tangible increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by X% against 2016 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by X%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

In 2022, the United States (X tons), distantly followed by Argentina (X tons), Brazil (X tons), Australia (X tons), Ukraine (X tons), France (X tons) and Canada (X tons) represented the largest exporters of grain, together comprising X% of total exports. Russia (X tons), Romania (X tons), India (X tons), Germany (X tons), Poland (X tons) and Kazakhstan (X tons) held a little share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Poland (with a CAGR of X%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($X) remains the largest grain supplier worldwide, comprising X% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Argentina ($X), with a X% share of global exports. It was followed by Brazil, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in the United States stood at X%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Argentina (X% per year) and Brazil (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain export price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by X% against the previous year. Overall, export price indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($X per ton), while Ukraine ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (X%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports

In 2022, global grain imports expanded slightly to X tons, with an increase of X% on the previous year's figure. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

In value terms, grain imports soared to $X in 2022. In general, total imports indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of X%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2022, China (X tons), followed by Mexico (X tons) and Japan (X tons) represented the largest importers of grain, together mixing up X% of total imports. Algeria (X tons), Spain (X tons), South Korea (X tons), Vietnam (X tons), Egypt (X tons), Italy (X tons), Turkey (X tons), the Netherlands (X tons), Saudi Arabia (X tons) and Indonesia (X tons) held a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Vietnam (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($X), Japan ($X) and Mexico ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising X% of global imports.

China, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain import price amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of X% against the previous year. In general, the import price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the average import price increased by X% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Japan ($X per ton), while Vietnam ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (X%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :

The countries with the highest volumes of in 2020 were China, the United States and India, with a combined 44% share of global consumption. Brazil, Indonesia, Russia, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Mexico, Turkey and Egypt lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 18%.
The countries with the highest volumes of in 2020 were China, the United States and India, with a combined 46% share of global production. Russia, Brazil, Argentina, Indonesia, Canada, Ukraine, Bangladesh, France, Vietnam and Germany lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 25%.
In value terms, the largest grain supplying countries worldwide were the United States, Argentina and Russia, with a combined 39% share of global exports. These countries were followed by Ukraine, Canada, France, Brazil, Australia, Germany, Romania, Poland, Hungary and Kazakhstan, which together accounted for a further 47%.
In value terms, the largest grain importing markets worldwide were China, Japan and Egypt, with a combined 18% share of global imports. These countries were followed by Mexico, Italy, South Korea, Turkey, Vietnam, Spain, the Netherlands, Germany, Algeria and Saudi Arabia, which together accounted for a further 32%.
The average grain export price stood at $236 per ton in 2020, picking up by 2.3% against the previous year.
In 2020, the average grain import price amounted to $224 per ton, with an increase of 2.1% against the previous year.

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global grain market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 108 - Cereals, nes
  • FCL 103 - Mixed grain
  • FCL 92 - Quinoa
  • FCL 15 - Wheat
  • FCL 71 - Rye
  • FCL 44 - Barley
  • FCL 75 - Oats
  • FCL 56 - Maize
  • FCL 27 - Rice, paddy
  • FCL 83 - Sorghum
  • FCL 89 - Buckwheat
  • FCL 101 - Canary seed
  • FCL 94 - Fonio
  • FCL 97 - Triticale
  • FCL 79 - Millet

Country coverage:

Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:

+ the largest producing countries

Data coverage:

  • Global market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Global production, split by region and country
  • Global trade (exports and imports)
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
    3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
    4. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    5. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
  7. 7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
    2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
    3. HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY
  8. 8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

    The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  9. 9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

    The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

    The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    • United States
    • China
    • Japan
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Brazil
    • Italy
    • Russian Federation
    • India
    • Canada
    • Australia
    • Republic of Korea
    • Spain
    • Mexico
    • Indonesia
    • Netherlands
    • Turkey
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Switzerland
    • Sweden
    • Nigeria
    • Poland
    • Belgium
    • Argentina
    • Norway
    • Austria
    • Thailand
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Colombia
    • Denmark
    • South Africa
    • Malaysia
    • Israel
    • Singapore
    • Egypt
    • Philippines
    • Finland
    • Chile
    • Ireland
    • Pakistan
    • Greece
    • Portugal
    • Kazakhstan
    • Algeria
    • Czech Republic
    • Qatar
    • Peru
    • Romania
    • Vietnam
  12. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2023
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    3. Market Value, 2012–2023
    4. Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
    5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    6. Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
    7. Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
    8. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    9. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    10. Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
    11. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    12. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    13. Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
  13. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    2. Market Value, 2012–2023
    3. Consumption, By Country, 2023
    4. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    5. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    6. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    7. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    8. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    9. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    10. Production Volume And Growth
    11. Yield And Growth
    12. Exports And Growth
    13. Export Prices And Growth
    14. Market Size And Growth
    15. Per Capita Consumption
    16. Imports And Growth
    17. Import Prices
    18. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    19. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    20. Area Harvested, 2012–2023
    21. Yield, 2012–2023
    22. Production, By Country, 2023
    23. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    24. Harvested Area, By Country, 2023
    25. Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
    26. Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
    27. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    28. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    29. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    30. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    31. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    32. Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
    33. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    34. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    35. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    36. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    37. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    38. Export Prices, 2012–2023

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